Our friend and fellow bridge player, 97 year old Dorothy Bicket, has been moved to an
assisted living facility, which is probably going to be a permanent
situation. Cards could be sent to her:
Dorothy Bicket
c/o Almost Home
3010
Greynolds Ave.
Spring Hill, FL. 34608
Her family said she could
probably have visitors in a couple of weeks or so, as the facility wants her to
become adjusted to being there first. She is getting along great with a
walker.
It appears we will have a 299er Game at Friday's Christmas Party, as well as an Open game. Players in the 299er section will be limited to 299 masterpoints. Both will be free, and will be held after the Party, which starts at 11 am. Bear in mind that the Open is a STaC game, and you need to provide your own partner -- the Game Director cannot play, by rule.
Please sign up, online at this link , or at the club, or via e-mail at this link, so we can get a count. Please bring a dish to pass -- the club will provide door prizes.
Annabelle Hills' nephew, Jeff Ryan, the son of her sister, is hospitalized in Wichita with a very fast acting type of leukemia. He really enjoys receiving cards, and they will help keep his spirits up for the fight he has ahead of him in the next three weeks.
For his sake and her sister's, she asks that concerned friends flood him with cards and keep him in your prayers:
Jeff Ryan
Wesley Medical Center
550 North Hillside, Room 4-827
Wichita, KS 67214
Let's say we have developed our skills so well that we can bid game-making boards with 90% accuracy. That is, if we bid game, there's a 90% chance it will make; if we don't bid game, there's a 10% chance it will make anyway. Pretty good.
Now let's bid 10,000 boards that we previously examined and know that 90% will make. When we bid game, we put that board in pile A, "Boards we feel will make game." When we don't bid game we put them in a different pile B, "Boards we feel will not make game."
What percentage of the boards in pile B, "Boards we feel will not make game," actually will make game, on average? [This is an example of Bayes' rule, named after Rev. Thomas Bayes. Thomas Bayes, (c. 1702 – April 17, 1761) was a mathematician and Presbyterian minister.]
Bicket
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