Let's say we have developed our skills so well that we can bid game-making boards with 90% accuracy. That is, if we bid game, there's a 90% chance it will make; if we don't bid game, there's a 10% chance it will make anyway. Pretty good.
Now let's bid 10,000 boards that we previously examined and know that 90% will make. When we bid game, we put that board in pile A, "Boards we feel will make game." When we don't bid game we put them in a different pile B, "Boards we feel will not make game."
What percentage of the boards in pile B, "Boards we feel will not make game," actually will make game, on average? [This is an example of Bayes' rule, named after Rev. Thomas Bayes. Thomas Bayes, (c. 1702 – April 17, 1761) was a mathematician and Presbyterian minister.]
I noticed La Iguana Loca, Mexican Grill and Cantina, located just south of Northridge on US 19, on my way to bridge Friday. It's in the former Village Inn, at the corner of River Country Road.
The menu is complete, the portions large, and the prices reasonable. Little was done to remodel the "pancake house" ambiance, but I like a bright and open space. The food was acceptable, which is far better than other Mexican restaurants around here. Try it, you should like it.
Mary Ann and I arrived in Daytona Beach around 5:30 and checked into our room. We
were both tired after a busy morning and the trip there. Dan Tillberry had made
reservations for us at the Americano Hotel. We were to have a two bedroom, two
bathroom condo with kitchen. We got to the room and there was one bathroom, two
kitchens, a living room, one bedroom and two closets. We tried to call
downstairs and none of the phones were working. My back hurt so Mary Ann went
down to the desk to sort it out.
When I travel to the Daytona Regional, I always
stay at the old Super 8 Motel. On the beach, blocks from the playing site,
reasonable rates. This year, after the senior's game on Tuesday, I got back just after 6:00 PM. The courtyard was dark, and I mean DARK ! I whipped out my wallet and tried my key, every which way, with no luck. I cautiously made my way up to the office, which was in lock down (every night at 6 o'clock I later found out), pounded on the door, and was directed from inside to a bank-type drive up window about 10 feet to the left. I threw my key onto the tray, and exclaimed in an agitated voice "This damn thing doesn't work!" From inside came the reply, "Sir, that's your driver's license."
Arriving at the playing area at the Danbury, CN Regional, I made a note to be very careful about entering the room as the "wall " was made up of several glass partitions which all looked alike, including the entry door. The usual hospitality break was announced after the first three rounds. I left the room late, (we were following a very slow pair) and got to the ladies room to find a long line. There was nothing for me to do but wait in line.
The Japanese eat very little fat and suffer fewer hearts attacks (myocardial infarcts) than Americans and New Zealanders do. Contrarily, Mexico natives eat a lot of fat and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans and Australians do.
The Chinese drink very little red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans, but the Italians drink a lot of red wine and suffer fewer heart attacks than Americans and Canadians.
Germans drink a lot of beer and eat lots of sausage and other fatty food and suffer fewer heart atacks than the British and Americans.
Scientists of repute1 are now concluding you should eat and drink whatever you like, since speaking English is apparently what kills you.
Karen Alpaugh forwarded an e-mail about the new bridge at Hoover Dam. Perhaps you got it. Unfortunately, I can't use it "as is" on The Daily Recap, and couldn't extract the pictures. The e-mail is far better than this article, and contains the story of its construction.
However I was able to get some shots of the dam from the internet. It's pretty impressive. It has been 38 years since I've been there, but I remember the current, twisting road well, as it descends from a height, revealing glimpses of the dam as you go.
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Arriving at the playing area at the Danbury, CN Regional, I made a note to be very careful about entering the room as the "wall " was made up of several glass partitions which all looked alike, including the entry door. The usual hospitality break was announced after the first three rounds. I left the room late, (we were following a very slow pair) and got to the ladies room to find a long line. There was nothing for me to do but wait in line.
